What I Thought

This section is an unvarnished record of my engagement with market dynamics. It is not a collection of theoretical what-ifs but a chronicle of real-time judgments where my own capital and direct accountability were at stake.

My thinking process follows the methodology which I call 3W1H, whose disciplines are elaborated in my book (48-51). This four-step logic governs every decision, not necessarily limited to investing, that you will find on this website:

  1. What: Grasp all available data and information without omission or distortion.

  2. Why: Identify the core rationale for choosing an approach, grounded in data and narratives.

  3. How: Apply the method best suited to the rationale.

  4. So What: Arrive at a conclusion; for example, an investment decision―whether to buy, sell, or hold.

Each transaction or market call posted in this category includes my reasoning, decision, result, and—just as importantly—a brief retrospective to review what worked, what didn’t, and why. This structure may show not only what I did and why but also how my decisions are formulated in a systematic, reproducible process.

While each trade or recommendation here contains the core logic of a decision, the exhaustive data and in-depth fundamental & quantitative analyses are archived in the V. Works section (light-form and full-form reports). I frequently utilize technical analysis—e.g., moving average—for short-term trading, and transactions that are purely based on technical analysis are not explained in the Works section.